Properly Estimating the Liquidity Effect: Why Accounting for Stationarity and Outliers is Important

نویسنده

  • Hany S. Guirguis
چکیده

The impulse responses of the federal funds rate to innovations in the non-borrowed reserves are re-examined. The rolling responses reveal that, by correcting for the nonstationarity of the data and including the error correcting terms in the VARs, the liquidity effect found by Christiano et al. (1991, 1992, and 1994) is shortened from six to two months. The rolling responses also locate an outlier between the non-borrowed reserves and the funds rate in May 1980. Once the observation of May 1980 is excluded from the samples, the evidence of the liquidity effect becomes much weaker. © 1999 Elsevier Science Inc.

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تاریخ انتشار 1999